Housing Price Report: Niagara-St.Catharines Market Report – Q3 2025
Today, Royal LePage® released its Q3 2025 House Price Survey. Below are highlights from the report for the Niagara-St.Catharines, Ontario, housing market.
- In Niagara-St.Catharines, the aggregate[1] home price increased 0.5% year over year to $635,300 in Q3 2025, yet decreased 0.7% from Q2 2025.
- The median price of a single-family detached home increased 2.4% year over year to $683,400.
- The median price of a condominium remained flat, decreasing just 0.2% year over year to $378,800.
October 15, 2025 – “Unit sales are down about seven per cent year-to-date, which reinforces that we are still very much in a buyer’s market. With fewer active purchasers and a larger pool of listings to choose from, buyers today have more leverage and flexibility than we’ve seen in several years,” said Brad Johnstone, broker of record, Royal LePage NRC Realty. “For serious buyers, this environment offers greater negotiating power and the ability to explore a wider range of options.”
Johnstone added that rate cuts by the Bank of Canada have provided only a marginal lift in activity, but additional reductions could gradually improve buyer confidence and bring more people back into the market. For those entering with a variable rate mortgage, the potential to benefit from future rate decreases adds another layer of opportunity, he noted.
“Looking ahead, broader economic conditions will continue to impact the market. In particular, ongoing tariff disputes could influence construction costs and, in turn, housing prices,” said Johnstone. “While there is little evidence that prices will appreciate significantly in the short term, stability is expected to persist. Buyers who are ready to act now may find this to be a unique window of opportunity to purchase before conditions begin to shift.”
Nationally, the aggregate price of a home in Canada recorded virtually no change in the third quarter of 2025, increasing just 0.1 per cent year over year to $816,500. However, on a quarter-over-quarter basis, the national aggregate home price posted a decline of 1.2 per cent, driven by depreciation in many major markets across the country over the summer.
“Canada’s housing market is shifting toward balance, as easing prices, rising listings and renewed rate cuts improve affordability across most regions,” said Phil Soper, president and CEO, Royal LePage. “For the first time in years, buyers – especially in previously supply-strapped markets – have real choice and negotiating power. With confidence returning and further rate reductions expected into early 2026, we anticipate noticeably stronger activity by the spring.”
Following a slower-than-usual start to the year, home sales picked up late in the spring and have consistently increased over the last five months, according to the Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA).[2]
“Affordability is improving and the economic backdrop remains remarkably stable, yet consumer confidence is lagging,” said Soper. “Many buyers remain hesitant – some worried about broader economic uncertainty, others waiting to see if prices dip a little further before stepping in.”
The Royal LePage National House Price Composite is compiled from proprietary property data nationally and regionally in 64 of the nation’s largest real estate markets. When broken out by housing type, the national median price of a single-family detached home increased 1.2 per cent year over year to $860,600, while the median price of a condominium decreased 1.6 per cent to $580,700. On a quarter-over-quarter basis, the median price of a single-family detached home and a condominium declined 1.1 and 1.9 per cent, respectively. Price data, which includes both resale and new build, is provided by RPS Real Property Solutions, a leading Canadian real estate valuation company.
Compared to the peak of pandemic pricing in the spring of 2022, national home prices have come down by approximately five per cent, driven by depreciation in the urban centres of Toronto and Vancouver, where prices are currently sitting more than 12 per cent below the peak. Meanwhile, home prices have continued to appreciate in Quebec, the Prairies and Atlantic Canada.
“Buyer sentiment is being influenced by a complex mix of economic and psychological factors,” said Soper. “Despite materially improved affordability in major cities, many Canadians – particularly younger ones – remain cautious amid high post-pandemic living costs, perceived job uncertainty, and general unease about our economic prospects. It’s understandable that some are waiting before making such a significant purchase.”
Royal LePage is forecasting that the aggregate price of a home in Canada will increase 1.0 per cent in the fourth quarter of 2025, compared to the same quarter last year. The previous forecast has been revised down to reflect price depreciation across Ontario and British Columbia, and slowing growth in other major markets.
Royal LePage House Price Survey Chart: rlp.ca/house-prices-Q3-2025
Royal LePage Forecast Chart: rlp.ca/market-forecast-Q3-2025
[1] Aggregate prices are calculated using a weighted average of the median values of all housing types collected. Data is provided by RPS Real Property Solutions and includes both resale and new build.
[2] Canadian Home Sales Post Best August in Four Years, September 15, 2025
